Saturday, April 09, 2011

My analysis of #annahazare movement!



We all witnessed what started on 5th of April 2011 by a single brave man, Anna Hazare and picked up as a national movement. We at MixORG were all the time on our toes to spread the movement using social media as this is what we specialize in. 

Also, during the movement and later, we had this huge itching to go into details for doing the analysis of the movement (contribution of social media and how different brands benefited out of it) . So, we started investigating for the different tools available on the web. (I will be sharing the list of tools we used later in the article)

Some of the highlights of the movement from social media point of view: 
1. More than 14K tweets during the movement [ Link ]
2. Avaaz.org ran a petition campaign, which when I am writing this discussion topic successfully got 500K entries under two days. [ Campaign Link ] One can see what it took for them to achieve this target using different mediums like Facebook, Twitter and Email campaign to achieve this number in a viral fashion.

Analysis of the movement: 
1. Power law like distribution: [ Link ]

If you search for #annahazare tag on Google and look for real time results you can see a time line. If you choose the month view you can see a clear rise and drop of a power law. However, if you go into deep analysis of every day. You will start seeing a pattern.
a. There was a pattern in the peaks and low in the activity of people which was repeating.
There were three peaks which were again like power law in their nature.
  • Afternoon time around 1 PM 
  • Evening time around 9 PM 
  • Late night around 1 AM

Time line from Google Search Real time results of #annahazare tag


2. Gains by the organizations who aligned themselves with the movement:
If you use http://twittercounter.com/ to see the particular twitter handle follower growth. You will notice a significant jump for following handles during the movement days. 
  • @Avaaz
  • @ndtv
  • @timesofindia
  • @mtvindia etc
Avaaz.org on Twitter




MTV growth


If you look at their contribution in the movement in form of tweets you will find them active and quiet influential. Which resulted in higher fan growth for them which otherwise would have taken a month at their normal pace.

Meanwhile, the analysis will continue but I wanted to share this in open and tried to answer the question for myself on ,  
how much social media contributed in the victory of this movement? Also, asking the Facebook question on our page : [ link ]. Any thoughts are welcome! What is your take on contribution of social media in fueling this movement?

The other tools we tried were [ Link , Link ] but due to small sample size of tweets. I am not including them in the analysis.

Cheers
Sachin, 
MixORG TEAM 

8 comments:

  1. elvin simon12:30 AM

    social media has brought the youth out from the comforts of their chairs. internet messages are spreading like wildfire. but the real india residing in the villages without any media is still very informed and are more sacrificing in nature compared to their urban friends.thanks for the analysis and good luck.

    ReplyDelete
  2. I agree simon that there is a big divide in India when it comes to Rural and Urbal about availability of services like Internet. We are a country of close to 100 Million Internet users out of which close to 23 Million+ are on Facebook. While the growth of Internet Users and Facebook Users is aggressive but still very less for a nation of 1.2 Billion people. Thanks for your comment and bringing this value add to the discussion.

    ReplyDelete
  3. interesting analysis . establishes the importance of Social media for Brands and how they can optimally use it . Thanks for sharing it.

    I am wondering is their anyway we can ascertain that alignment was in spirit not a tactical maneuver to gain follower . ( some kind of semantical analysis of content of tweets pre and post #annahazare moment ) . My point is that while these organizations surely benefited by aligning them self with #annahazare but did they actually contributed back to the agenda , in any meaningful manner . I mean all those handle who were re tweeting #annahazare tweet did they started any new thread of their own . this kind of visibility will be nice to separate real supporter to opportunist

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